@ DET (Mar 13, 2010)@ TBL (Mar 18, 2010) ›

March 16, 2010

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 34 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
ATL3014
Shots on goal BUF 32, ATL 26W J. HedbergL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .400
Buffalo P. Lalime .952
ATL J. Hedberg .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
ATL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Slater goal (P3 13:16), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 11%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Kennedy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Lydman
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:43
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:39
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.952 (20/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-ATL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won10-139-910-729-29
Hits4-74-20-48-13
Takeaways4-56-54-514-15
Giveaways1-21-10-22-5
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.913ATL 1.087. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:16J. Slater (1) 51% to 11%-40
  2. P3 07:02T. Kennedy (1) 17% to 51%+34
  3. P1 00:33N. Antropov (1) 52% to 34%-18
  4. P2 04:38M. Ellis (1) 13% to 29%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:56
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.8
11:11
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
20:43
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
17:36
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
19:17
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
1.1
9:20
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
14:18
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
6
1.1
19:19
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
25:39
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:45
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
8:35
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
13:01
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.2
15:52
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
12:30
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.3
9:40
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
21:32
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:40
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
2
-0.1
17:29
Total
3
6
9
14
32
8.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime211.9521.353:26L
#30 R. Miller53.400-2.05:40

Team Stats

BUFATL
32Shots on Goal26
9.5%Shooting % (5v5)18.2%
.818Save % (5v5).905
0.913PDO (5v5)1.087
29 (50%)Faceoffs Won29 (50%)
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
14Penalty Minutes12
8Hits13
9Blocked Shots15
2Giveaways5
14Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
00:33GOAL (ATL): Nik Antropov (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Niclas Bergfors
04:38GOAL (ATL): Bryan Little (1), assists: Rich Peverley, Clarke MacArthur
04:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Derek Roy, Tim Connolly(PP)
05:40GOAL (ATL): Maxim Afinogenov (1), assists: Nik Antropov, Niclas Bergfors
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
04:38GOAL (BUF): Matt Ellis (1), assists: Tim Kennedy, Tyler Myers
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
07:02GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Steve Montador, Toni Lydman
13:16GOAL (ATL): Jim Slater (1), assists: Niclas Bergfors, Toby Enstrom
@ DET (Mar 13, 2010)@ TBL (Mar 18, 2010) ›