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March 18, 2010

St. Pete Times Forum | Tampa

BUF 62 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3126
TBL0022
Shots on goal BUF 28, TBL 25W R. MillerL A. Niittymaki
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .920
TBL A. Niittymaki .815
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
TBL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville, power play goal (P1 5:19), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 71%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
3 (3G)
POINTS
D. Roy
21:07
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-TBL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won14-814-76-934-24
Hits6-44-32-112-8
Takeaways2-11-60-43-11
Giveaways2-21-52-55-12
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.078TBL 0.922. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 05:19J. Pominville (1), power play 55% to 71%+16
  2. P1 13:56T. Myers (1) 73% to 87%+14
  3. P1 02:07Fighting on Todd Fedoruk, 5 min 50% to 58%+8
  4. P1 02:07Fighting on Craig Rivet, 5 min 58% to 50%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:42
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1J. PominvilleBUF | RW3G 0A 3P
2D. RoyBUF | C1G 2A 3P
3R. MillerBUF | G2.00 GAA, .920 SV%

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
2
2.3
21:07
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
3
0
3
+3
2
7
2.6
18:16
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
1
1.3
25:47
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
5
1.0
17:55
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
18:39
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+3
0
1
0.8
18:06
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
21:10
#57 T. Myers (D)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
1.2
24:53
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.5
15:53
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:58
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:26
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:31
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.3
9:25
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:54
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
21:11
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:30
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
17
0
-0.2
8:19
Total
6
7
13
25
28
12.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller252.9200.859:57W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
28Shots on Goal25
13.3%Shooting % (5v5)5.6%
.944Save % (5v5).867
1.078PDO (5v5)0.922
34 (59%)Faceoffs Won24 (41%)
7Power Play Chances4
14%PP%25%
75%PK%86%
1PPG1
25Penalty Minutes19
12Hits8
16Blocked Shots12
5Giveaways12
3Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
05:19GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Derek Roy, Toni Lydman(PP)
13:56GOAL (BUF): Tyler Myers (1), assists: Jochen Hecht
16:23GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (2), assists: Henrik Tallinder
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
09:25GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), unassisted(SH)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
08:06GOAL (TBL): Steve Downie (1), assists: Steven Stamkos, Martin St. Louis
17:22GOAL (TBL): Vincent Lecavalier (1), assists: Steven Stamkos, Teddy Purcell(PP)
18:14GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Derek Roy(EN)
19:26GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (3), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
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