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March 20, 2010

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 31 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
FLA0101
Shots on goal BUF 36, FLA 32W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

FLA had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .969
FLA T. Vokoun .895
FLA S. Clemmensen .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
FLA 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P1 13:26), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:58
TOI (F)
T. Myers
27:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.969 (31/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-FLA.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won5-914-108-2027-39
Hits4-137-163-914-38
Takeaways0-22-30-22-7
Giveaways0-22-30-12-6
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.083FLA 0.917. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 13:26J. Hecht (1) 53% to 73%+20
  2. P2 11:04B. Bitz (1) 91% to 77%-14
  3. P2 02:54P. Kaleta (1) 74% to 89%+15
  4. P3 13:49M. Grier (1) 91% to 99%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:47
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.6
14:45
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
2
2
+3
0
2
1.3
27:49
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
7:55
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
13:46
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.3
11:56
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
11:37
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
18:27
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
20:58
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:36
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
8:34
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
3
-0.1
14:43
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.3
17:38
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:33
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
23:01
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
23:47
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:12
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
11:39
Total
3
6
9
12
36
9.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller321.9692.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
36Shots on Goal32
13.0%Shooting % (5v5)4.8%
.952Save % (5v5).870
1.083PDO (5v5)0.917
27 (41%)Faceoffs Won39 (59%)
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes10
14Hits38
11Blocked Shots9
2Giveaways6
2Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
13:26GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Tyler Myers
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
02:54GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (1), assists: Adam Mair, Tyler Myers
11:04GOAL (FLA): Byron Bitz (1), assists: Kamil Kreps, Gregory Campbell
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
13:49GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Matt Ellis
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
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