vs OTT (Mar 26, 2010)@ BOS (Mar 29, 2010) ›

March 27, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 17 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL0101
BUF3317
Shots on goal TBL 23, BUF 26W P. LalimeL A. Niittymaki
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .957
TBL A. Niittymaki .500
TBL M. Smith .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 4
TBL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P1 2:24), Sabres win chance rises from 61% to 78%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
4 (3G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:51
TOI (F)
C. Butler
18:24
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-TBL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won7-139-105-921-32
Hits7-114-52-513-21
Takeaways1-23-22-26-6
Giveaways2-07-32-111-4
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.089TBL 0.911. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:24P. Gaustad (1) 61% to 78%+17
  2. P1 06:35Spearing on Vincent Lecavalier, 5 min 78% to 83%+5
  3. P1 08:52J. Hecht (1), power play 92% to 97%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 17:51
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
3
1
4
+2
0
5
3.4
20:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
4
2.3
19:44
#63 T. Ennis (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.6
19:26
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
1.1
16:56
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
13:25
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
15:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
10:10
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
14:39
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
12:15
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
18:55
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
18:06
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
18:24
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
17:41
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:16
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:56
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
15:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
17:12
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:14
Total
7
13
20
4
26
16.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime231.9571.559:53W

Team Stats

TBLBUF
23Shots on Goal26
4.8%Shooting % (5v5)13.6%
.864Save % (5v5).952
0.911PDO (5v5)1.089
32 (60%)Faceoffs Won21 (40%)
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%75%
25%PK%100%
0PPG3
17Penalty Minutes4
21Hits13
14Blocked Shots12
4Giveaways11
6Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
02:24GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Craig Rivet, Mike Grier
08:02GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Tyler Ennis, Jason Pominville(PP)
08:52GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Tyler Myers, Chris Butler(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
06:57GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Derek Roy(PP)
09:45GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (2), assists: Tim Kennedy, Thomas Vanek
11:16GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Tyler Ennis, Matt Ellis
19:17GOAL (TBL): Steve Downie (1), assists: Mike Lundin
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
06:10GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (3), assists: Jason Pominville(PP)
vs OTT (Mar 26, 2010)@ BOS (Mar 29, 2010) ›