vs MTL (Mar 24, 2010)vs TBL (Mar 27, 2010) ›

March 26, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT1214
BUF0112
Shots on goal OTT 30, BUF 43W B. ElliottL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
OTT B. Elliott .953
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
OTT 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
C. Kelly goal (P1 6:42), Sabres win chance drops from 59% to 40%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Pominville
21:44
TOI (F)
T. Myers
24:05
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won11-814-77-1132-26
Hits9-93-89-421-21
Takeaways0-00-02-02-0
Giveaways4-11-42-47-9
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.980OTT 1.020. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+32+160-16-32shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:42C. Kelly (1) 59% to 40%-19
  2. P2 10:52T. Kennedy (1) 13% to 31%+18
  3. P2 05:36P. Regin (1) 33% to 16%-17
  4. P2 14:03J. Spezza (1), power play 27% to 12%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:59
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
16:01
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
4
1.1
17:02
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
21:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:03
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
18:37
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
15:00
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
8:47
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
14:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
16:31
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.2
7:38
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
8:11
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
19:44
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
19:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
4
0.2
21:26
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:38
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:03
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
13:09
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.3
24:05
Total
2
1
3
11
43
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller303.9000.558:05L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
30Shots on Goal43
8.7%Shooting % (5v5)6.7%
.933Save % (5v5).913
1.020PDO (5v5)0.980
26 (45%)Faceoffs Won32 (55%)
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
24Penalty Minutes11
21Hits21
16Blocked Shots6
9Giveaways7
0Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
06:42GOAL (OTT): Chris Kelly (1), assists: Jarkko Ruutu, Chris Neil
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
05:36GOAL (OTT): Peter Regin (1), assists: Jason Spezza, Matt Carkner
10:52GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Paul Gaustad
14:03GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (1), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Erik Karlsson(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
01:34GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), unassisted
19:59GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (1), assists: Jarkko Ruutu, Chris Kelly(EN)
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs MTL (Mar 24, 2010)vs TBL (Mar 27, 2010) ›