@ EDM (Oct 4, 1996)@ VAN (Oct 9, 1996) ›

October 6, 1996

Canadian Airlines Saddledome | Calgary

BUF 03 CGY

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0000
CGY0123
Shots on goal BUF 19, CGY 28W R. TabaracciL D. Hasek
Summary

CGY had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .926
CGY R. Tabaracci 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
CGY 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
C. O'Sullivan goal (P2 13:51), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 23%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
D. Hasek
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 13:51C. O'Sullivan (1) 45% to 23%-22
  2. P3 14:25J. Patrick (1) 12% to 2%-10
  3. P2 06:02Fighting on Brad May, 5 min 48% to 37%-11
  4. P2 06:02Fighting on Ronnie Stern, 5 min 37% to 48%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
1
-0.2
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.2
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
0
0
0
23
19
-0.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek272.9261.059:46L

Team Stats

BUFCGY
19Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances8
0%PP%13%
88%PK%100%
0PPG1
23Penalty Minutes15

Full Game Log

2ND
13:51GOAL (CGY): Chris O'Sullivan (1), assists: German Titov, Robert Reichel
3RD
14:25GOAL (CGY): James Patrick (1), assists: Robert Reichel, Tommy Albelin
19:48GOAL (CGY): German Titov (1), assists: Theo Fleury
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