‹ @ CGY (Oct 6, 1996)vs DET (Oct 12, 1996) ›

October 9, 1996

General Motors Place | Vancouver

BUF 2 – 1 VAN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
VAN1001
Shots on goal BUF 19, VAN 35W D. HasekL K. McLean
Summary

VAN had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .971
VAN K. McLean .895
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
VAN 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
B. Holzinger goal (P3 5:42), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 80%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Holzinger
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:42B. Holzinger (1) 47% to 80%+33
  2. P2 01:28J. Dawe (1) 25% to 46%+21
  3. P1 00:14P. Bure (1) 45% to 28%-17
  4. P3 00:47Interference goalkeeper on Jason Dawe, 2 min 47% to 42%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
0.8
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
6
19
5.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek351–.971–2.760:00W

Team Stats

BUFVAN
19Shots on Goal35
3Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
00:14GOAL (VAN): Pavel Bure (1), assists: Martin Gelinas, Trevor Linden
2ND
01:28GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (1), assists: Randy Burridge, Mike Wilson
3RD
05:42GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (1), assists: Richard Smehlik, Curtis Brown
‹ @ CGY (Oct 6, 1996)vs DET (Oct 12, 1996) ›