@ VAN (Oct 9, 1996)vs TBL (Oct 15, 1996) ›

October 12, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

DET 61 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET1146
BUF0011
Shots on goal DET 35, BUF 22W M. VernonL D. Hasek
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .829
DET M. Vernon .955
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
DET 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
V. Kozlov goal (P1 15:41), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 32%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Peca
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Plante
4
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.829 (29/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:41V. Kozlov (2) 52% to 32%-20
  2. P2 02:31S. Yzerman (1) 30% to 14%-16
  3. P3 00:51T. Taylor (1) 8% to 2%-6
  4. P3 05:24M. Peca (1) 1% to 5%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
-1
2
4
0.9
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
4
0.3
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
Total
1
2
3
7
22
3.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek356.829-1.660:00L

Team Stats

DETBUF
35Shots on Goal22
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
9Penalty Minutes7

Full Game Log

1ST
15:41GOAL (DET): Vyacheslav Kozlov (2), assists: Igor Larionov
2ND
02:31GOAL (DET): Steve Yzerman (1), assists: Igor Larionov, Jamie Pushor
3RD
00:51GOAL (DET): Tim Taylor (1), assists: Steve Yzerman, Nicklas Lidstrom
05:24GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (1), assists: Garry Galley, Jason Dawe
06:40GOAL (DET): Igor Larionov (1), assists: Steve Yzerman, Nicklas Lidstrom
07:45GOAL (DET): Martin Lapointe (1), assists: Sergei Fedorov, Brendan Shanahan
08:55GOAL (DET): Mathieu Dandenault (1), assists: Tim Taylor, Greg Johnson
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