‹ vs TBL (Oct 15, 1996)@ WSH (Oct 18, 1996) ›

October 17, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

PIT 1 – 4 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0011
BUF1124
Shots on goal PIT 30, BUF 30W D. HasekL K. Wregget
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .967
PIT K. Wregget .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
PIT 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Plante goal (P1 19:50), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 73%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Galley
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:50D. Plante (1) 55% to 73%+18
  2. P2 04:02G. Galley (2) 74% to 89%+15
  3. P1 01:47Fighting on Francois Leroux, 5 min 42% to 50%+8
  4. P1 01:47Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 50% to 42%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#3 G. Galley (D)
1
3
4
+2
0
1
2.8
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.5
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.4
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
0.9
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#46 R. Boughner (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
1
0.5
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
7
0.5
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.4
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
4
4
0.0
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
Total
4
8
12
33
30
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek301–.967–2.259:36W

Team Stats

PITBUF
30Shots on Goal30
6Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
23Penalty Minutes33

Full Game Log

1ST
19:50GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (1), assists: Garry Galley, Richard Smehlik
2ND
04:02GOAL (BUF): Garry Galley (2), assists: Dixon Ward, Derek Plante
3RD
03:19GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (2), assists: Garry Galley, Randy Burridge
09:38GOAL (PIT): Jaromir Jagr (3), unassisted
19:16GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (2), assists: Bob Boughner, Garry Galley
‹ vs TBL (Oct 15, 1996)@ WSH (Oct 18, 1996) ›