‹ vs PIT (Oct 17, 1996)vs MTL (Oct 24, 1996) ›

October 18, 1996

Capital Centre | Landover

BUF 4 – 1 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1034
WSH0101
Shots on goal BUF 26, WSH 32W D. HasekL O. Kolzig
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .969
WSH O. Kolzig .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
WSH 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Grosek goal (P3 5:02), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 79%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Ward
4
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.969 (31/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:02M. Grosek (1) 47% to 79%+32
  2. P2 15:03R. Zednik (2) 69% to 46%-23
  3. P1 19:44A. Zhitnik (1) 43% to 65%+22
  4. P2 17:40Fighting on Bob Boughner, 5 min 46% to 34%-12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.8
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.5
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
2
1.5
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
1
0
1
+2
2
2
0.8
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.3
#93 A. Semenov (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#46 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+2
5
1
-0.1
Total
4
6
10
22
26
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek321–.969–2.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
26Shots on Goal32
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
22Penalty Minutes22

Full Game Log

1ST
19:44GOAL (BUF): Alexei Zhitnik (1), assists: Jason Dawe, Brian Holzinger
2ND
15:03GOAL (WSH): Richard Zednik (2), assists: Jason Allison, Phil Housley
3RD
05:02GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (1), assists: Dixon Ward
14:50GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (1), assists: Michal Grosek, Derek Plante
19:39GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (2), assists: Darryl Shannon
‹ vs PIT (Oct 17, 1996)vs MTL (Oct 24, 1996) ›