@ WSH (Oct 18, 1996)vs HFD (Oct 26, 1996) ›

October 24, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

MTL 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL1203
BUF1326
Shots on goal MTL 30, BUF 27W D. HasekL P. Jablonski
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .900
MTL P. Jablonski .765
MTL J. Thibault .800
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
MTL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Audette goal (P2 18:43), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 78%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Plante
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:43D. Audette (1) 52% to 78%+26
  2. P2 12:31S. Koivu (4) 75% to 50%-25
  3. P2 00:18M. Barnaby (1) 50% to 71%+21
  4. P1 17:48B. Brunet (2) 70% to 50%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#26 D. Plante (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
3
2.4
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
2
1.5
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
1
1
+1
12
1
0.3
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
0
5
1
0.7
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
1
1
+1
12
0
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-2
2
4
0.7
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+4
2
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+3
5
1
-0.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
0
-0.3
Total
6
9
15
47
27
10.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek303.9000.560:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
30Shots on Goal27
5Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
44Penalty Minutes47

Full Game Log

1ST
10:12GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (3), assists: Dixon Ward, Rob Ray
17:48GOAL (MTL): Benoit Brunet (2), assists: Turner Stevenson, Vincent Damphousse
2ND
00:18GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (1), unassisted
06:46GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (3), assists: Derek Plante, Bob Boughner
10:44GOAL (MTL): Scott Thornton (2), assists: Rory Fitzpatrick, Peter Popovic
12:31GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (4), assists: David Wilkie
18:43GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (1), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Alexei Zhitnik
3RD
13:20GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (3), assists: Jason Dawe, Randy Burridge
16:20GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (4), assists: Brian Holzinger
@ WSH (Oct 18, 1996)vs HFD (Oct 26, 1996) ›