‹ vs HFD (Jan 25, 1997)vs DAL (Jan 31, 1997) ›

January 29, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

PIT 1 – 3 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0011
BUF2013
Shots on goal PIT 22, BUF 39W D. HasekL P. De Rouville
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .955
PIT P. De Rouville .947
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PIT 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
R. Ray goal (P1 8:28), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 69%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Smehlik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 08:28R. Ray (7) 50% to 69%+19
  2. P1 13:16M. Peca (11) 66% to 82%+16
  3. P3 02:18J. Jagr (42) 92% to 80%-12
  4. P3 13:39High sticking on Michal Grosek, 2 min 90% to 84%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
0.9
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
4
5
0.1
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
Total
3
4
7
12
39
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek221–.955–1.460:00W

Team Stats

PITBUF
22Shots on Goal39
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

1ST
08:28GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (7), assists: Brad May, Richard Smehlik
13:16GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (11), assists: Dixon Ward
3RD
02:18GOAL (PIT): Jaromir Jagr (42), assists: Petr Nedved, Ron Francis
19:32GOAL (BUF): Richard Smehlik (8), assists: Alexei Zhitnik
‹ vs HFD (Jan 25, 1997)vs DAL (Jan 31, 1997) ›