‹ vs DAL (Jan 31, 1997)@ PHI (Feb 4, 1997) ›

February 2, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

WSH 2 – 2 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0022
BUF1012
Shots on goal WSH 29, BUF 24
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .931
WSH J. Carey .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
WSH 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Grosek goal (P3 15:19), Sabres win chance rises from 9% to 53%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:19M. Grosek (11) 9% to 53%+44
  2. P3 13:48S. Konowalchuk (10) 50% to 12%-38
  3. P3 08:32K. Miller (8) 86% to 54%-32
  4. P1 10:24J. Dawe (14) 57% to 75%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.4
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
5
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
+1
4
3
-0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
5
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
Total
2
4
6
23
24
4.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#39 D. Hasek292–.931–1.265:00T

Team Stats

WSHBUF
29Shots on Goal24
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
23Penalty Minutes23

Full Game Log

1ST
10:24GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (14), assists: Michael Peca, Dixon Ward
3RD
08:32GOAL (WSH): Kelly Miller (8), assists: Phil Housley, Steve Konowalchuk
13:48GOAL (WSH): Steve Konowalchuk (10), assists: Joe Juneau, Dale Hunter
15:19GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (11), assists: Derek Plante, Garry Galley
‹ vs DAL (Jan 31, 1997)@ PHI (Feb 4, 1997) ›