vs OTT (Feb 9, 1997)vs SJS (Feb 16, 1997) ›

February 12, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

MTL 22 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0202
BUF1102
Shots on goal MTL 45, BUF 34
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo S. Shields .956
MTL J. Thibault .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
MTL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Rucinsky goal (P2 12:16), Sabres win chance drops from 80% to 58%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
1 (1G)
POINTS
S. Shields
.956 (43/45)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

OT 2:22
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:16M. Rucinsky (20) 80% to 58%-22
  2. P1 02:22D. Audette (18) 61% to 77%+16
  3. P2 11:02V. Malakhov (7) 93% to 80%-13
  4. P2 01:13J. Dawe (16) 78% to 91%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#5 E. Ronan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
6
0.9
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.2
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
3
-0.1
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
2
4
6
10
34
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 S. Shields452.9562.865:00T

Team Stats

MTLBUF
45Shots on Goal34
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

1ST
02:22GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (18), assists: Dixon Ward, Brian Holzinger
2ND
01:13GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (16), assists: Michael Peca, Ed Ronan
11:02GOAL (MTL): Vladimir Malakhov (7), assists: Turner Stevenson, Jassen Cullimore
12:16GOAL (MTL): Martin Rucinsky (20), assists: Valeri Bure, Vincent Damphousse
vs OTT (Feb 9, 1997)vs SJS (Feb 16, 1997) ›