vs SJS (Feb 16, 1997)vs NYI (Feb 21, 1997) ›

February 18, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

CGY 55 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY2125
BUF2125
Shots on goal CGY 42, BUF 32
Summary

CGY had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 5-5 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .881
CGY D. Roloson 1.000
CGY T. Kidd .828
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
CGY 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
A. Gavey goal (P3 18:33), Sabres win chance drops from 98% to 53%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Galley
3 (3A)
POINTS
M. Peca
5
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.881 (37/42)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 4:29
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:33A. Gavey (7) 98% to 53%-45
  2. P3 00:19M. Peca (14) 56% to 82%+26
  3. P2 12:41B. Holzinger (16) 31% to 56%+25
  4. P1 17:49D. Audette (21) 37% to 58%+21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
3
3
+1
0
4
2.0
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
0
2
2
1.5
#27 M. Peca (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
5
1.9
#38 B. Moore (LW)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.5
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
-1
7
3
0.7
#5 E. Ronan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
5
0.1
Total
5
7
12
17
32
9.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek425.8810.065:00T

Team Stats

CGYBUF
42Shots on Goal32
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%33%
67%PK%75%
1PPG1
15Penalty Minutes17

Full Game Log

1ST
11:06GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (13), assists: Jason Dawe
11:52GOAL (CGY): Corey Millen (10), assists: Todd Simpson
14:17GOAL (CGY): Jonas Hoglund (15), unassisted
17:49GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (21), assists: Barrie Moore, Garry Galley
2ND
01:16GOAL (CGY): Jarome Iginla (17), assists: Jonas Hoglund, German Titov
12:41GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (16), assists: Barrie Moore, Garry Galley
3RD
00:19GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (14), unassisted
08:51GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (15), assists: Brian Holzinger, Garry Galley
18:06GOAL (CGY): Ronnie Stern (3), assists: Cory Stillman, German Titov
18:33GOAL (CGY): Aaron Gavey (7), assists: Todd Hlushko
vs SJS (Feb 16, 1997)vs NYI (Feb 21, 1997) ›