@ NJD (Feb 27, 1997)vs PIT (Mar 5, 1997) ›

March 1, 1997

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 31 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
OTT0101
Shots on goal BUF 16, OTT 30W D. HasekL R. Tugnutt
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .967
OTT R. Tugnutt .813
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Peca goal (P2 1:33), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 73%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Audette
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Peca
4
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 01:33M. Peca (15) 52% to 73%+21
  2. P2 07:52D. Audette (22) 74% to 89%+15
  3. P2 19:08W. Redden (4) 93% to 79%-14
  4. P3 01:03D. Audette (23) 80% to 94%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#28 D. Audette (RW)
2
0
2
+2
0
3
1.7
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
1
0.3
#5 E. Ronan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
3
5
8
8
16
6.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek301.9672.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
16Shots on Goal30
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes4

Full Game Log

2ND
01:33GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (15), assists: Jason Dawe
07:52GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (22), assists: Michal Grosek, Richard Smehlik
19:08GOAL (OTT): Wade Redden (4), assists: Denny Lambert, Alexandre Daigle
3RD
01:03GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (23), assists: Dixon Ward, Brian Holzinger
@ NJD (Feb 27, 1997)vs PIT (Mar 5, 1997) ›