vs NYI (Mar 26, 1997)@ CHI (Mar 30, 1997) ›

March 28, 1997

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 12 DET

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF00101
DET10012
Shots on goal BUF 22, DET 41W M. VernonL S. Shields
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo S. Shields .951
DET M. Vernon .955
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
DET 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
L. Murphy goal (OT 3:10), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Barnaby
1 (1G)
POINTS
S. Shields
.951 (39/41)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

OT 3:10
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:10L. Murphy (9) 49% to 0%-49
  2. P3 14:03M. Barnaby (19) 9% to 47%+38
  3. P1 16:23S. Yzerman (18) 42% to 25%-17
  4. P1 16:47Checking from behind on Kirk Maltby, 5 min 25% to 33%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
+1
4
2
0.6
#10 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
Total
1
2
3
16
22
2.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 S. Shields412.9512.463:10L

Team Stats

BUFDET
22Shots on Goal41
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
16Penalty Minutes27

Full Game Log

1ST
16:23GOAL (DET): Steve Yzerman (18), assists: Martin Lapointe, Nicklas Lidstrom
3RD
14:03GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (19), assists: Michal Grosek, Derek Plante
OT
03:10GOAL (DET): Larry Murphy (9), assists: Sergei Fedorov, Steve Yzerman
vs NYI (Mar 26, 1997)@ CHI (Mar 30, 1997) ›