vs OTT (Apr 25, 1997)vs OTT (Apr 29, 1997) ›

April 27, 1997

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 30 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
OTT0000
Shots on goal BUF 21, OTT 31W S. ShieldsL R. Tugnutt
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo S. Shields 1.000
OTT R. Tugnutt .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
OTT 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
B. Holzinger goal (P1 3:25), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 70%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
1 (1G)
POINTS
S. Shields
1.000 (31/31)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 03:25B. Holzinger (2) 52% to 70%+18
  2. P2 07:46A. Zhitnik (1) 74% to 89%+15
  3. P2 02:36Roughing on Matthew Barnaby, 2 min 73% to 69%-4
  4. P1 12:19Tripping on Mike Wilson, 2 min 71% to 67%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
0.8
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.4
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
1
0
1
+2
2
2
0.8
#5 E. Ronan (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#76 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
Total
3
6
9
12
21
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 S. Shields3101.0003.160:00W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
21Shots on Goal31
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
14Penalty Minutes24

Full Game Log

1ST
03:25GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (2), assists: Donald Audette, Darryl Shannon
2ND
07:46GOAL (BUF): Alexei Zhitnik (1), assists: Michal Grosek, Matthew Barnaby
3RD
15:44GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (1), assists: Michael Peca, Dixon Ward
vs OTT (Apr 25, 1997)vs OTT (Apr 29, 1997) ›