vs ATL (Oct 17, 2009)@ TBL (Oct 24, 2009) ›

October 21, 2009

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 52 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF5005
FLA1012
Shots on goal BUF 36, FLA 43W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

FLA had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .953
FLA T. Vokoun .909
FLA S. Clemmensen .333
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P1 1:11), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 70%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
H. Tallinder
2 (2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
T. Connolly
17:23
TOI (F)
C. Butler
22:58
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.953 (41/43)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-FLA.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won11-1213-78-932-28
Hits5-63-136-1114-30
Takeaways0-01-01-12-1
Giveaways0-53-20-33-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.108FLA 0.892. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:11M. Grier (1) 52% to 70%+18
  2. P1 01:56J. Pominville (1), power play 72% to 84%+12
  3. P1 04:37M. Ellis (1) 85% to 93%+8
  4. P1 10:20T. Myers (1) 94% to 98%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:47
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
2
2
+2
4
0
1.0
18:16
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.9
16:58
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.8
10:50
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.9
17:23
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.9
14:04
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:12
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
15:13
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
3
0.8
17:01
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
1
1
+1
4
1
0.6
8:37
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
7:40
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
0.9
15:38
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.6
19:12
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
22:58
#57 T. Myers (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
20:44
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
14:59
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
14
1
-0.3
12:37
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:50
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:20
Total
5
10
15
28
36
12.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller432.9532.660:00W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
36Shots on Goal43
14.3%Shooting % (5v5)3.4%
.966Save % (5v5).857
1.108PDO (5v5)0.892
32 (53%)Faceoffs Won28 (47%)
4Power Play Chances7
25%PP%14%
86%PK%75%
1PPG1
28Penalty Minutes22
14Hits30
10Blocked Shots9
3Giveaways10
2Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
01:11GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (1), assists: Tim Kennedy, Jochen Hecht
01:56GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Butler(PP)
04:37GOAL (BUF): Matt Ellis (1), assists: Patrick Kaleta, Henrik Tallinder
10:20GOAL (BUF): Tyler Myers (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Derek Roy
14:11GOAL (FLA): Steve Reinprecht (1), assists: Michael Frolik, Rostislav Olesz
16:48GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
17:47GOAL (FLA): Rostislav Olesz (1), assists: David Booth, Ville Koistinen
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs ATL (Oct 17, 2009)@ TBL (Oct 24, 2009) ›