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October 28, 2009

Prudential Center | Newark

BUF 41 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2024
NJD0101
Shots on goal BUF 27, NJD 32W R. MillerL M. Brodeur
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .969
NJD M. Brodeur .852
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
NJD 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. MacArthur goal (P1 1:21), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 67%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
17:37
TOI (F)
C. Butler
24:50
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.969 (31/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-NJD.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won11-78-914-733-23
Hits6-114-123-913-32
Takeaways3-24-26-113-5
Giveaways0-42-30-52-12
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.083NJD 0.917. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:21C. MacArthur (1) 49% to 67%+18
  2. P2 04:17A. Greene (1) 87% to 72%-15
  3. P1 06:00T. Kennedy (1) 68% to 83%+15
  4. P3 09:25P. Gaustad (1) 85% to 97%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:37
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1R. MillerBUF | G1.00 GAA, .969 SV%
2T. KennedyBUF | LW1G 0A 1P
3Z. PariseNJD | LW0G 1A 1P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.5
15:56
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
1
1.2
15:18
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:11
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
17:37
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
4
2
0.6
16:38
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
9:45
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:54
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
15:58
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
24:50
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
21:28
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:49
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:39
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.2
16:32
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
15:04
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
10:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:59
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.2
15:10
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:03
Total
4
8
12
12
27
9.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller321.9692.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFNJD
27Shots on Goal32
12.5%Shooting % (5v5)4.2%
.958Save % (5v5).875
1.083PDO (5v5)0.917
33 (59%)Faceoffs Won23 (41%)
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%20%
80%PK%75%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes10
13Hits32
3Blocked Shots8
2Giveaways12
13Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
01:21GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (1), assists: Craig Rivet, Jason Pominville
06:00GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
04:17GOAL (NJD): Andy Greene (1), assists: Zach Parise, Jamie Langenbrunner
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
09:25GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Matt Ellis, Steve Montador
17:21GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Chris Butler, Tim Connolly(PP)
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