vs NJD (Dec 7, 2009)vs CHI (Dec 11, 2009) ›

December 9, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 03 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0000
BUF1203
Shots on goal WSH 35, BUF 28W R. MillerL J. Theodore
Summary

WSH had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
WSH J. Theodore .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
WSH 0 of 1
TURNING POINT
S. Montador goal (P1 4:06), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 68%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
N. Gerbe
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
J. Pominville
19:49
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (35/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-WSH.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won6-108-175-1019-37
Hits3-24-54-611-13
Takeaways3-11-03-17-2
Giveaways4-66-36-016-9
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.095WSH 0.905. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 4 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:06S. Montador (1) 49% to 68%+19
  2. P2 14:42N. Gerbe (1), power play 77% to 91%+14
  3. P2 17:58H. Tallinder (1) 93% to 98%+5
  4. P1 01:29Hooking on Tim Kennedy, 2 min 49% to 46%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:25
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+2
2
1
1.8
15:02
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
14:28
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:54
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:49
#4 S. Montador (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
16:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
22:39
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.1
17:47
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:36
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:56
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
16:00
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:16
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:16
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:48
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:56
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:56
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:37
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:35
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.4
25:47
Total
3
5
8
4
28
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller3501.0003.560:00W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
35Shots on Goal28
0.0%Shooting % (5v5)9.5%
.905Save % (5v5)1.000
0.905PDO (5v5)1.095
37 (66%)Faceoffs Won19 (34%)
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
13Hits11
11Blocked Shots20
9Giveaways16
2Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
04:06GOAL (BUF): Steve Montador (1), assists: Derek Roy, Nathan Gerbe
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
14:42GOAL (BUF): Nathan Gerbe (1), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford(PP)
17:58GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (1), assists: Jason Pominville
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs NJD (Dec 7, 2009)vs CHI (Dec 11, 2009) ›