vs CHI (Dec 11, 2009)@ MTL (Dec 14, 2009) ›

December 12, 2009

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 32 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2103
NYR2002
Shots on goal BUF 32, NYR 38W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

NYR had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .947
NYR H. Lundqvist .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYR 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
P. Kaleta, shorthanded goal (P2 9:30), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 73%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Kaleta
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:32
TOI (F)
T. Myers
24:39
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.947 (36/38)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-NYR.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won10-179-88-1227-37
Hits13-138-95-226-24
Takeaways2-33-51-46-12
Giveaways1-11-20-02-3
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.077NYR 0.923. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+25+130-13-25shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:30P. Kaleta (2), shorthanded 49% to 73%+24
  2. P1 14:28P. Kaleta (1) 31% to 52%+21
  3. P1 06:25D. Roy (1) 52% to 71%+19
  4. P1 12:17M. Gaborik (1), power play 49% to 31%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:25
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
2
0
2
+2
0
2
1.9
16:39
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
22:32
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
18:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
16:31
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
14:09
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
1.1
21:49
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.7
24:39
#12 M. Mancari (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:09
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
13:17
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.2
14:44
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
16:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:44
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
18:49
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
6:41
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
14:40
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.5
19:14
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:05
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
16:29
Total
3
5
8
12
32
8.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller382.9472.160:00W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
32Shots on Goal38
7.7%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).923
1.077PDO (5v5)0.923
27 (42%)Faceoffs Won37 (58%)
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
12Penalty Minutes8
26Hits25
22Blocked Shots10
2Giveaways3
6Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
06:25GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Tyler Myers
10:22GOAL (NYR): Ryan Callahan (1), assists: Marian Gaborik, Ales Kotalik(PP)
12:17GOAL (NYR): Marian Gaborik (1), assists: Michael Del Zotto, Vinny Prospal(PP)
14:28GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Toni Lydman
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
09:30GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (2), assists: Henrik Tallinder(SH)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
vs CHI (Dec 11, 2009)@ MTL (Dec 14, 2009) ›