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December 14, 2009

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 43 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0224
MTL1023
Shots on goal BUF 27, MTL 24W R. MillerL J. Halak
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .875
MTL J. Halak .852
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
MTL 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. MacArthur, power play goal (P3 14:41), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 93%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (2A)
POINTS
C. MacArthur
19:47
TOI (F)
T. Myers
28:07
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-MTL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won6-127-117-1620-39
Hits6-103-31-010-13
Takeaways3-22-32-17-6
Giveaways3-64-52-39-14
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.050MTL 0.950. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+31+160-16-31shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:41C. MacArthur (1), power play 55% to 93%+38
  2. P3 12:51M. Cammalleri (1) 90% to 51%-39
  3. P3 12:33T. Kennedy (1) 51% to 89%+38
  4. P3 02:36A. Kostitsyn (2), power play 82% to 52%-30

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:40
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.5
18:38
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
1.1
18:20
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.1
13:18
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
19:41
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:22
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
1.0
19:13
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.0
15:43
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
1.0
19:47
#44 A. Sekera (D)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
20:09
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
28:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.3
7:29
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
19:24
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:44
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
14:48
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
17:55
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
14:41
Total
4
7
11
13
27
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller243.875-0.159:52W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
27Shots on Goal24
10.0%Shooting % (5v5)5.0%
.950Save % (5v5).900
1.050PDO (5v5)0.950
20 (34%)Faceoffs Won39 (66%)
6Power Play Chances4
17%PP%50%
50%PK%83%
1PPG2
15Penalty Minutes19
10Hits13
16Blocked Shots30
9Giveaways14
7Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
16:03GOAL (MTL): Andrei Kostitsyn (1), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Marc-Andre Bergeron(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
12:58GOAL (BUF): Andrej Sekera (1), assists: Derek Roy, Jochen Hecht
19:01GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (1), assists: Tim Connolly(SH)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
02:36GOAL (MTL): Andrei Kostitsyn (2), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Michael Cammalleri(PP)
12:33GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Tyler Myers
12:51GOAL (MTL): Michael Cammalleri (1), assists: Andrei Kostitsyn
14:41GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Jason Pominville(PP)
20:00Period end
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