@ CAR (Mar 21, 2010)vs OTT (Mar 26, 2010) ›

March 24, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 23 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
MTL110002
BUF002013
Shots on goal MTL 28, BUF 42W R. MillerL C. Price
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
MTL C. Price .952
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
MTL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad, power play goal (P3 19:12), Sabres win chance rises from 3% to 52%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
25:25
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
26:50
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-MTL.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won9-810-106-112-127-30
Hits3-74-33-50-210-17
Takeaways1-03-02-21-07-2
Giveaways2-16-13-11-012-3
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.944MTL 1.056. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:59
+27+140-14-27shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 19:12P. Gaustad (1), power play 3% to 52%+49
  2. P1 00:41A. Kostitsyn (1) 59% to 40%-19
  3. P2 04:57A. Kostitsyn (2), power play 30% to 15%-15
  4. OT 00:38Interference on Andrei Markov, 2 min 52% to 60%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 4:59
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1T. ConnollyBUF | C1G 0A 1P
2C. PriceMTL | G1.85 GAA, .952 SV%
3D. RoyBUF | C0G 1A 1P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
7
1.1
25:25
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
0
0
9
1.4
22:06
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.2
22:45
#4 S. Montador (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
0.9
17:14
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
17:44
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
25:22
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
13:03
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
14:55
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
11:09
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:25
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:51
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.8
14:13
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:03
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
18:15
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
26:50
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:14
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
14:26
Total
2
4
6
6
42
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.162:36W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
28Shots on Goal42
5.6%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).944
1.056PDO (5v5)0.944
30 (53%)Faceoffs Won27 (47%)
4Power Play Chances6
25%PP%17%
83%PK%75%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes8
17Hits10
18Blocked Shots4
3Giveaways12
2Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
00:41GOAL (MTL): Andrei Kostitsyn (1), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Roman Hamrlik
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
04:57GOAL (MTL): Andrei Kostitsyn (2), assists: Andrei Markov, Marc-Andre Bergeron(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
18:01GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Derek Roy, Tyler Myers(PP)
19:12GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Steve Montador, Andrej Sekera(PP)
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
SO
00:00Period start
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, unassisted(SO)
00:00Shootout complete
00:00Period end
00:00Game end
@ CAR (Mar 21, 2010)vs OTT (Mar 26, 2010) ›