2010–11 Round 1
Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers defeated the Sabres 4-3.
Series Summary
PHI had more shot attempts in all situations and won the series 4-3.
3-4
RECORD
18
GF
22
GA
-4
DIFF
45.7%
CF% 5v5
22.6%
PP%
85.7%
PK%
- IN NET
- Buffalo Miller .917Buffalo Enroth .875
- TOP SKATER
- Gragnani, 6.0 series Game Score (1G, 6A)
Win Probability by Game
Buffalo's chance of winning, one game at a time.
Game 1, Apr 14, 2011: BUF 1 at PHI 0. Game page
WIN PROBABILITY
Opened at 43%.
P3 20:00
BIGGEST SWINGS
- P3 05:56P. Kaleta (1) 45% to 80%+35
- P3 11:03Tripping on Tyler Myers, 2 min 85% to 79%-6
- P2 09:42Slashing on Shaone Morrisonn, 2 min 43% to 39%-4
- P2 08:20Tripping on Steve Montador, 2 min 44% to 40%-4
Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.
Shot Map
Every shot attempt, to scale.
Replay
Game 7
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot
Win DNA
Winning traits, game by game. Definitions and season win rates are on Team Stats.
Wins (3)Losses (4, 1 in overtime)
7 games: a small sample.
Skaters
| Player | GP | Scoring | PP | TOI/G | Hits | Blocks | GV | TK | On-Ice | Game Score | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | A | P ▾ | +/- | PIM | SOG | On-Ice TOI | CF% | CF% Rel | FF% | GF% | PDO | GS | ||||||||||||||||||
| Marc-Andre Gragnani | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 21:54 | 8 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 107:38 | 49.8% | +6.2% | 52.7% | 60.0% | 1.013 | 6.0 | ||||||||||
| Tyler Myers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 23:52 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 109:09 | 45.1% | -1.0% | 42.4% | 30.0% | 0.954 | 2.6 | ||||||||||
| Thomas Vanek | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 17:10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 78:54 | 44.4% | -1.8% | 45.7% | 12.5% | 0.883 | 3.7 | ||||||||||
| Rob Niedermayer | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14:06 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 84:20 | 42.1% | -5.2% | 44.6% | 50.0% | 1.018 | 2.4 | ||||||||||
| Jason Pominville | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 15:51 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 40:22 | 50.7% | +5.6% | 50.9% | 50.0% | 1.000 | 3.5 | ||||||||||
| Tyler Ennis | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 16:38 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 91:49 | 45.3% | -0.7% | 45.0% | 80.0% | 1.071 | 3.9 | ||||||||||
| Drew Stafford | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 20:01 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 86:10 | 47.7% | +2.8% | 46.2% | 66.7% | 1.020 | 4.5 | ||||||||||
| Patrick Kaleta | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 10:59 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 59:45 | 44.4% | -1.6% | 43.3% | 42.9% | 0.976 | 2.4 | ||||||||||
| Tim Connolly | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 19:04 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 60:26 | 48.4% | +3.3% | 48.9% | 25.0% | 0.938 | 2.2 | ||||||||||
| Paul Gaustad | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 19:20 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 90:21 | 42.9% | -4.1% | 41.4% | 22.2% | 0.902 | 0.2 | ||||||||||
| Nathan Gerbe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 18 | 19 | 0 | 13:21 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 79:43 | 48.4% | +3.7% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 0.992 | 2.9 | ||||||||||
| Cody McCormick | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8:11 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 54:44 | 44.5% | -1.4% | 45.3% | 25.0% | 0.952 | 0.7 | ||||||||||
| Brad Boyes | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14:23 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 79:36 | 48.4% | +3.5% | 47.4% | 44.4% | 0.975 | 1.5 | ||||||||||
| Mike Grier | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9:29 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 44:32 | 44.8% | -1.1% | 47.3% | 20.0% | 0.899 | 0.3 | ||||||||||
| Steve Montador | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 15:46 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 68:48 | 45.6% | -0.1% | 43.9% | 42.9% | 0.979 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| Mike Weber | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15:51 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 81:17 | 45.2% | -0.7% | 47.2% | 40.0% | 0.949 | 0.9 | ||||||||||
| Chris Butler | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 23:00 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 107:51 | 41.9% | -5.9% | 40.5% | 27.3% | 0.940 | -1.4 | ||||||||||
| Andrej Sekera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26:35 | 54.0% | +9.2% | 55.6% | 42.9% | 0.910 | 1.2 | ||||||||||
| Jordan Leopold | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 20:57 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 87:53 | 42.9% | -4.0% | 43.4% | 50.0% | 1.012 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
| Derek Roy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 | 30.3% | -16.3% | 30.4% | 0.0% | 0.818 | -0.1 | ||||||||||
| Jochen Hecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 68.6% | +24.2% | 71.4% | 50.0% | 0.891 | 1.4 | ||||||||||
| Shaone Morrisonn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 40.0% | -5.9% | 43.8% | – | 1.000 | -0.3 | ||||||||||
| Matt Ellis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:30 | 40.0% | -5.9% | 41.7% | – | – | -0.1 | ||||||||||
| Mark Mancari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:35 | 54.5% | +9.0% | 50.0% | – | 1.000 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
On-ice rates are 5-on-5. "Rel" is measured against the team's series-wide 5-on-5 line with that skater off the ice.
Goalies
| Goalie | GP ▾ | W-L | GA | GAA | SV% | SO | TOI/G | GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller | 7 | 3-4 | 20 | 2.93 | .917 | 2 | 58:32 | 7.2 |
| Jhonas Enroth | 1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3.49 | .875 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.0 |
A goalie is credited a game played for any appearance, relief included, so GP sums above the team's own games played by the number of relief outings. GA is the goals charged to a goalie, so it can add up to less than the goals against in the Game Log: a goal into an empty net is charged to no goalie.
Line Combinations
Lines and pairs at 5v5 in the series, summed over all 7 games.
What do TOI, CF, xG% etc. mean?
- GP
- Games in which this exact line/pair shared the ice together at 5v5.
- TOI
- Time on ice together at 5v5, meaning the whole line/pair on the ice at once, not any one player's own total. Only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit count, which is why a pair's TOI and xG% here differ slightly from the WOWY table, where together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice.
- xGF / xGA
- Expected goals for/against while this combo was on the ice, from this site's own xG model.
- xG%
- Share of on-ice expected goals this combo earned: xGF / (xGF + xGA). The single best read on who controlled play.
- GF / GA
- Actual goals for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
- CF / CA (Corsi For / Against, Shot Attempts)
- "Corsi" is just the hockey-analytics name for total shot attempts: shots on goal, missed shots, and blocked shots combined, a volume proxy for who had the puck more. CF is this combo's own attempts, CA is the opponent's.
- CF%
- Share of on-ice shot attempts (Corsi) this combo earned: CF / (CF + CA).
- CF% Rel
- This combo's CF% minus the team's own CF% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's play; negative means it dragged it down.
- xGF% Rel
- This combo's xG% minus the team's own xG% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's expected-goals share; negative means it dragged it down.
- FF / FA
- Unblocked shot attempts (also called Fenwick): shots on goal plus misses, excluding blocks. One layer closer to real scoring chances than CF/CA.
- SF / SA
- Shots on goal for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
- Minimum Ice Time
- Drag the slider on each table down to see combos with less shared ice time. Their percentages get noisier the lower you go, since a combo that barely played together can swing to 100% or 0% off a single shot.
STRENGTH
Forward Lines
| Line | GP | TOI ▾ | xGF | xGA | xG% | GF | GA | CF | CA | CF% | CF% Rel | xGF% Rel | FF | FA | SF | SA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | 5 | 30:02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 2 | 28 | 32 | 46.7% | 0.8% | – | 21 | 26 | 17 | 16 |
| Niedermayer–Stafford–Ennis | 4 | 27:54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 1 | 26 | 33 | 44.1% | -2.1% | – | 18 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| Connolly–Pominville–Vanek | 3 | 23:45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 57.9% | 12.8% | – | 17 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| Connolly–Stafford–Gerbe | 2 | 20:01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 41.2% | -5.1% | – | 9 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
| Gaustad–Vanek–Kaleta | 2 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 40.0% | -6.4% | – | 12 | 18 | 10 | 12 |
| Grier–Boyes–McCormick | 4 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | 57.1% | 11.8% | – | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| Niedermayer–Grier–McCormick | 3 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 43.8% | -2.3% | – | 13 | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Boyes–Stafford–Ennis | 2 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 52.6% | 6.9% | – | 7 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
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Defense Pairs
| Line | GP | TOI ▾ | xGF | xGA | xG% | GF | GA | CF | CA | CF% | CF% Rel | xGF% Rel | FF | FA | SF | SA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butler–Myers | 7 | 84:24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 2 | 5 | 67 | 96 | 41.1% | -6.7% | – | 49 | 76 | 34 | 52 |
| Leopold–Gragnani | 5 | 62:55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 1 | 60 | 65 | 48.0% | 2.6% | – | 45 | 44 | 33 | 35 |
| Montador–Weber | 3 | 29:36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 36 | 46.3% | 0.4% | – | 21 | 29 | 18 | 19 |
| Montador–Gragnani | 3 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 51.2% | 5.6% | – | 14 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| Gragnani–Weber | 4 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | 60.0% | 14.8% | – | 16 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| Sekera–Myers | 2 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 1 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 61.4% | 16.7% | – | 18 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
| Leopold–Montador | 3 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29.2% | -17.5% | – | 4 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
| Butler–Weber | 6 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | – | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 48.0% | 2.1% | – | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
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With or Without You
Buffalo's 5v5 CF% and xGF% with Myers on the ice, with and without each teammate. Δ is together minus apart. That gap is always measured from the named player's side, so the same pair can read positive on one player's table and negative on the other's. Round 1 vs PHI, minimum 20:00 together. Together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice, so a pair's time and xGF% here differ slightly from the Line Combinations table, which counts only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit.
| Teammate | TOGETHER | MYERS APART | IMPACT | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI Together ▾ | CF% | xGF% | CF% | xGF% | Δ CF% | Δ xGF% | ||||
| Butler | 84:48 | 40.5% | – | 58.9% | – | -18.4 | – | |||
| Gaustad | 43:13 | 44.7% | – | 45.4% | – | -0.7 | – | |||
| Gerbe | 35:21 | 44.7% | – | 45.3% | – | -0.6 | – | |||
| Niedermayer | 32:02 | 42.6% | – | 46.0% | – | -3.4 | – | |||
| Stafford | 32:02 | 47.6% | – | 44.1% | – | +3.5 | – | |||
| Ennis | 31:47 | 44.4% | – | 45.3% | – | -0.9 | – | |||
| Kaleta | 27:58 | 41.8% | – | 46.2% | – | -4.4 | – | |||
| Vanek | 23:11 | 49.0% | – | 44.0% | – | +5.0 | – | |||
| Boyes | 21:25 | 44.7% | – | 45.2% | – | -0.5 | – | |||
Shift Profile
Shift length and on-ice results, the Round 1 series vs PHI. Empty-net goals against are left out.
What do Short %, Hemmed-In Shifts, Long-Change Gap etc. mean?
- GP (shifts)
- Games in which the NHL shift chart has rows for this skater. It can read lower than the games played in the Skaters table, because a game with no usable shift chart is left out of every column here.
- Short / Long
- "Short" is a skater's shifts under 0:45; "Long" is their shifts of 1:00 or more. Short % / Long % is the share of all their shifts that fall in that range.
- CF% (short) / CF% (long)
- Shot-attempt share (Corsi) specifically during a skater's own short shifts versus their own long shifts. Compares whether they generate or allow more when the shift is quick versus when it drags on.
- GF-GA (long)
- Goals for minus goals against specifically during a skater's shifts of 1:00 or more. A single-game or short-series number here is a very small sample; look for it to hold up across a season.
- PP Shifts / PK Shifts
- Number of shifts a skater started while their team had a power play or was shorthanded, tagged by the strength in effect at the moment they stepped on the ice.
- Long-Change Gap
- This skater's average 2nd-period shift length minus the average of their 1st and 3rd. Positive means their shifts really do run longer in the 2nd, but that period is the "long change" (the bench sits at center ice, so whichever team is defending the far end can't change on the fly as easily), so a positive gap isn't automatically fatigue.
- Hemmed-In Shifts
- Even-strength shifts in which the unit was on for more than 60 seconds of unbroken play: no whistle came, so they could not change. The number in parentheses is how many of those only ended at a whistle. Most of such a shift is ordinary play: the first minute looks like any other stretch of the game, and only the time past it tilts hard toward the defending end (the game page counts that as pinned time). Shift length is an outcome here, not a cause, so this column says nothing about why a goal went in.
- Short-Rest Shifts
- Even-strength shifts a skater started after less than 45 seconds on the bench, same period only (an intermission is a full rest). Power-play and penalty-kill units legitimately take long shifts and short rests, so both of these columns leave them out.
| Player | GP (shifts) | Shifts ▾ | Avg Shift | Short % | Long % | CF% (short) | CF% (long) | GF-GA (long) | PP Shifts | PK Shifts | Long-Change Gap | Hemmed-In Shifts | Short-Rest Shifts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Myers | 7 | 240 | 0:42 | 61.7% | 14.2% | 43.8% | 52.3% | +3 | 22 | 41 | +7s | 5 (2 to whistle) | 52 |
| C. Butler | 7 | 238 | 0:41 | 61.3% | 11.8% | 39.7% | 33.3% | 0 | 16 | 44 | +7s | 7 (2 to whistle) | 49 |
| M. Gragnani | 7 | 216 | 0:43 | 58.8% | 16.7% | 48.3% | 68.4% | +4 | 36 | 10 | +4s | 13 (3 to whistle) | 39 |
| P. Gaustad | 7 | 187 | 0:43 | 57.2% | 17.1% | 46.2% | 34.2% | 0 | 15 | 30 | -2s | 11 (3 to whistle) | 10 |
| D. Stafford | 7 | 174 | 0:48 | 46.0% | 21.8% | 42.7% | 58.3% | 0 | 29 | 30 | 0s | 15 (5 to whistle) | 8 |
| T. Vanek | 7 | 162 | 0:45 | 58.6% | 15.4% | 44.2% | 78.6% | 0 | 31 | 4 | +2s | 4 (1 to whistle) | 7 |
| M. Weber | 7 | 162 | 0:41 | 59.9% | 16.0% | 47.9% | 26.2% | -3 | 2 | 40 | +12s | 9 (3 to whistle) | 16 |
| T. Connolly | 6 | 157 | 0:44 | 52.2% | 15.9% | 33.7% | 61.3% | 0 | 26 | 38 | +5s | 5 (2 to whistle) | 4 |
| J. Leopold | 5 | 146 | 0:43 | 56.8% | 17.8% | 39.8% | 39.7% | -1 | 7 | 13 | +2s | 12 (1 to whistle) | 43 |
| T. Ennis | 7 | 144 | 0:49 | 37.5% | 25.7% | 44.3% | 55.2% | +1 | 15 | 2 | +1s | 15 (3 to whistle) | 8 |
| R. Niedermayer | 7 | 140 | 0:42 | 57.9% | 11.4% | 42.3% | 32.6% | 0 | 11 | 12 | -1s | 8 (3 to whistle) | 4 |
| N. Gerbe | 7 | 140 | 0:40 | 62.9% | 11.4% | 51.6% | 45.2% | +1 | 10 | 3 | +3s | 9 (3 to whistle) | 9 |
| S. Montador | 6 | 139 | 0:41 | 59.7% | 11.5% | 49.5% | 23.3% | -1 | 6 | 30 | -3s | 5 (1 to whistle) | 22 |
| B. Boyes | 7 | 130 | 0:46 | 43.1% | 21.5% | 50.8% | 54.1% | +1 | 18 | 4 | +1s | 10 (3 to whistle) | 3 |
| J. Pominville | 5 | 108 | 0:44 | 57.4% | 19.4% | 49.2% | 61.3% | 0 | 23 | 23 | 0s | 2 | 3 |
| P. Kaleta | 6 | 108 | 0:37 | 69.4% | 12.0% | 44.4% | 47.8% | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1s | 9 | 6 |
| M. Grier | 7 | 98 | 0:41 | 58.2% | 13.3% | 37.5% | 17.9% | -1 | 5 | 29 | +2s | 4 (1 to whistle) | 2 |
| C. McCormick | 7 | 83 | 0:41 | 54.2% | 13.3% | 38.8% | 45.0% | 0 | 6 | 3 | +4s | 8 (2 to whistle) | 2 |
| A. Sekera | 2 | 57 | 0:34 | 73.7% | 3.5% | 58.8% | 16.7% | 0 | 3 | 4 | +7s | 0 | 14 |
| D. Roy | 1 | 28 | 0:43 | 53.6% | 10.7% | 30.0% | 20.0% | 0 | 4 | 0 | +5s | 1 | 4 |
| J. Hecht | 1 | 21 | 0:44 | 52.4% | 19.0% | 69.6% | 37.5% | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6s | 0 | 0 |
| S. Morrisonn | 1 | 19 | 0:42 | 57.9% | 15.8% | 40.0% | 28.6% | 0 | 0 | 5 | +11s | 1 (1 to whistle) | 1 |
| M. Ellis | 1 | 17 | 0:41 | 58.8% | 11.8% | 33.3% | 100.0% | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9s | 1 (1 to whistle) | 0 |
| M. Mancari | 1 | 13 | 0:45 | 38.5% | 7.7% | 57.1% | – | 0 | 4 | 0 | +2s | 0 | 1 |